Stock Analysis

Alcom Group Berhad (KLSE:ALCOM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

KLSE:ALCOM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Alcom Group Berhad (KLSE:ALCOM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Alcom Group Berhad

What Is Alcom Group Berhad's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Alcom Group Berhad had RM248.0m of debt, an increase on RM198.8m, over one year. However, it also had RM56.2m in cash, and so its net debt is RM191.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:ALCOM Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2022

How Healthy Is Alcom Group Berhad's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Alcom Group Berhad had liabilities of RM252.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM145.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM56.2m as well as receivables valued at RM128.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM212.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM122.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Alcom Group Berhad would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, Alcom Group Berhad uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.3 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Pleasingly, Alcom Group Berhad is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 274% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Alcom Group Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Alcom Group Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Alcom Group Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Alcom Group Berhad has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Alcom Group Berhad (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.