Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN) Is An Interesting Stock

KLSE:KOSSAN
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (KLSE:KOSSAN). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

See our latest analysis for Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd

How Fast Is Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In business, though not in life, profits are a key measure of success; and share prices tend to reflect earnings per share (EPS). So like a ray of sunshine through a gap in the clouds, improving EPS is considered a good sign. It is therefore awe-striking that Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd's EPS went from RM0.088 to RM0.42 in just one year. Even though that growth rate is unlikely to be repeated, that looks like a breakout improvement. But the key is discerning whether something profound has changed, or if this is a just a one-off boost.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 13% to 38%, and revenue is growing. That's great to see, on both counts.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:KOSSAN Earnings and Revenue History March 15th 2021

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It makes me feel more secure owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, thusly more closely aligning our interests. As a result, I'm encouraged by the fact that insiders own Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd shares worth a considerable sum. Indeed, they hold RM69m worth of its stock. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Despite being just 0.8% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

Does Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd's earnings per share have taken off like a rocket aimed right at the moon. That EPS growth certainly has my attention, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke my interest. The hope is, of course, that the strong growth marks a fundamental improvement in the business economics. So yes, on this short analysis I do think it's worth considering Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd for a spot on your watchlist. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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