Stock Analysis

Are Dividend Investors Making A Mistake With United Malacca Berhad (KLSE:UMCCA)?

KLSE:UMCCA
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Today we'll take a closer look at United Malacca Berhad (KLSE:UMCCA) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

A 1.7% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests United Malacca Berhad has some staying power. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding United Malacca Berhad for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
KLSE:UMCCA Historic Dividend April 14th 2021
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Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Although it reported a loss over the past 12 months, United Malacca Berhad currently pays a dividend. When a company is loss-making, we next need to check to see if its cash flows can support the dividend.

United Malacca Berhad paid out 136% of its free cash flow last year, which we think is concerning if cash flows do not improve. Paying out more than 100% of your free cash flow in dividends is generally not a long-term, sustainable state of affairs, so we think shareholders should watch this metric closely.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of United Malacca Berhad's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of United Malacca Berhad's dividend payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was RM0.2 in 2011, compared to RM0.09 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 9.1% per year over that time. United Malacca Berhad's dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 9.1% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

When a company's per-share dividend falls we question if this reflects poorly on either external business conditions, or the company's capital allocation decisions. Either way, we find it hard to get excited about a company with a declining dividend.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. United Malacca Berhad's EPS have fallen by approximately 41% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and United Malacca Berhad's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're a bit uncomfortable with United Malacca Berhad paying a dividend while loss-making, especially since the dividend was also not well covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. In this analysis, United Malacca Berhad doesn't shape up too well as a dividend stock. We'd find it hard to look past the flaws, and would not be inclined to think of it as a reliable dividend-payer.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for United Malacca Berhad that investors need to be conscious of moving forward.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About KLSE:UMCCA

United Malacca Berhad

An investment holding company, engages in the palm oil cultivation, palm oil milling, and agroforestry plantation businesses in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

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