Sime Darby Plantation Berhad's (KLSE:SIMEPLT) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.9x Sime Darby Plantation Berhad (KLSE:SIMEPLT) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Malaysia have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 29x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
The recently shrinking earnings for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad have been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the company's earnings performance to degrade further, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sime Darby Plantation Berhad.Is There Any Growth For Sime Darby Plantation Berhad?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sime Darby Plantation Berhad would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.1%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 141% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 35% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Sime Darby Plantation Berhad is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Sime Darby Plantation Berhad's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Sime Darby Plantation Berhad maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sime Darby Plantation Berhad you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:SDG
SD Guthrie Berhad
An investment holding company, operates as an integrated plantations company in Malaysia and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.