Lotus KFM Berhad (KLSE:LOTUS) Shares May Have Slumped 29% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Lotus KFM Berhad (KLSE:LOTUS) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Malaysia's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may still consider Lotus KFM Berhad as a stock not worth researching with its 3.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Lotus KFM Berhad
How Lotus KFM Berhad Has Been Performing
For instance, Lotus KFM Berhad's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lotus KFM Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lotus KFM Berhad?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lotus KFM Berhad would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 5.1% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 5.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Lotus KFM Berhad is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Lotus KFM Berhad's P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Lotus KFM Berhad's very lofty P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Lotus KFM Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Lotus KFM Berhad, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lotus KFM Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:LOTUS
Lotus KFM Berhad
Engages in the milling and trading of flour and related products in Malaysia.
Excellent balance sheet slight.