Stock Analysis

FGV Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:FGV) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

KLSE:FGV
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When close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider FGV Holdings Berhad (KLSE:FGV) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 25.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, FGV Holdings Berhad's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for FGV Holdings Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:FGV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on FGV Holdings Berhad will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is FGV Holdings Berhad's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as FGV Holdings Berhad's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 70%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 69% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.4% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that FGV Holdings Berhad's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that FGV Holdings Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for FGV Holdings Berhad that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than FGV Holdings Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.