Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd's (KLSE:F&N) Price

KLSE:F&N
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.3x Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd (KLSE:F&N) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Malaysia have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:F&N Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd.

How Is Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd's Growth Trending?

Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 41% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 4.7% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 17%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.