Stock Analysis

How Much Did Cocoaland Holdings Berhad's(KLSE:COCOLND) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?

KLSE:COCOLND
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For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Cocoaland Holdings Berhad (KLSE:COCOLND) shareholders, since the share price is down 37% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 0.1%.

See our latest analysis for Cocoaland Holdings Berhad

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Cocoaland Holdings Berhad saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 13% per year, over the last three years. This fall in EPS isn't far from the rate of share price decline, which was 14% per year. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
KLSE:COCOLND Earnings Per Share Growth November 22nd 2020

Dive deeper into Cocoaland Holdings Berhad's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Cocoaland Holdings Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Cocoaland Holdings Berhad the TSR over the last 3 years was -29%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 4.3% in the last year, Cocoaland Holdings Berhad shareholders lost 15% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Cocoaland Holdings Berhad (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KLSE:COCOLND

Cocoaland Holdings Berhad

Cocoaland Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in processed and preserved foods and fruits in Malaysia, Eastern Asia, South East Asia, the Middle East, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.