Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Yinson Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YINSON) Is Using Debt Extensively

KLSE:YINSON
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Yinson Holdings Berhad (KLSE:YINSON) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Yinson Holdings Berhad

How Much Debt Does Yinson Holdings Berhad Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of April 2021 Yinson Holdings Berhad had RM6.57b of debt, an increase on RM5.40b, over one year. On the flip side, it has RM2.01b in cash leading to net debt of about RM4.56b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:YINSON Debt to Equity History August 4th 2021

How Healthy Is Yinson Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yinson Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM2.39b falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM5.89b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM2.01b and RM617.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total RM5.65b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of RM4.91b, we think shareholders really should watch Yinson Holdings Berhad's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Yinson Holdings Berhad has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.5 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Notably, Yinson Holdings Berhad's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 128% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yinson Holdings Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yinson Holdings Berhad burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Yinson Holdings Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Yinson Holdings Berhad has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Yinson Holdings Berhad (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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