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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Reach Energy Berhad's (KLSE:REACH) 33% Share Price Climb
Reach Energy Berhad (KLSE:REACH) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Reach Energy Berhad's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Oil and Gas industry in Malaysia is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Reach Energy Berhad
How Reach Energy Berhad Has Been Performing
Reach Energy Berhad has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Reach Energy Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Reach Energy Berhad's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing the recent medium-term upward revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for contraction of 7.2% shows it's a great look while it lasts.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Reach Energy Berhad's P/S matches its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Reach Energy Berhad's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Reach Energy Berhad revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. When we see a history of positive growth in a struggling industry, but only an average P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to stay its recent course and swim against the current of the broader industry turmoil. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because this relative performance should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Reach Energy Berhad (4 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Reach Energy Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:REACH
Reach Energy Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and other petroleum products in the Republic of Kazakhstan, Malaysia, and internationally.
Low and slightly overvalued.