Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad (KLSE:PETDAG) Have Hit The Brakes

KLSE:PETDAG
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad (KLSE:PETDAG), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = RM1.1b ÷ (RM11b - RM5.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 14% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.

See our latest analysis for PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad

roce
KLSE:PETDAG Return on Capital Employed May 10th 2023

In the above chart we have measured PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad here for free.

SWOT Analysis for PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Currently debt free.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Oil and Gas market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
Threat
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Malaysian market.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

There hasn't been much to report for PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. That being the case, it makes sense that PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad has been paying out 69% of its earnings to its shareholders. Most shareholders probably know this and own the stock for its dividend.

Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 46% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than19% because total capital employed would be higher.The 19% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 46% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.

What We Can Learn From PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad's ROCE

We can conclude that in regards to PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 1.1% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing PETRONAS Dagangan Berhad that you might find interesting.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.