Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. On that note, looking into KNM Group Berhad (KLSE:KNM), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for KNM Group Berhad, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.041 = RM128m ÷ (RM4.0b - RM858m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, KNM Group Berhad has an ROCE of 4.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Energy Services industry average of 8.4%.
See our latest analysis for KNM Group Berhad
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how KNM Group Berhad has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is KNM Group Berhad's ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about KNM Group Berhad, given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.3% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect KNM Group Berhad to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 57% from where it was five years ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with KNM Group Berhad (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
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About KLSE:KNM
KNM Group Berhad
Provides project management, engineering, manufacturing, and maintenance services worldwide.
Good value low.