There's Reason For Concern Over Well Chip Group Berhad's (KLSE:WELLCHIP) Massive 27% Price Jump
Well Chip Group Berhad (KLSE:WELLCHIP) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Well Chip Group Berhad's P/S ratio of 3.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Finance industry in Malaysia is also close to 2.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
We've discovered 1 warning sign about Well Chip Group Berhad. View them for free.Check out our latest analysis for Well Chip Group Berhad
What Does Well Chip Group Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Well Chip Group Berhad has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Well Chip Group Berhad will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Well Chip Group Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.1%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 118% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.5% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 27% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Well Chip Group Berhad's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Well Chip Group Berhad's P/S?
Well Chip Group Berhad appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Given that Well Chip Group Berhad's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Well Chip Group Berhad you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Well Chip Group Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.