Stock Analysis

Genting Malaysia Berhad's (KLSE:GENM) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

KLSE:GENM
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There wouldn't be many who think Genting Malaysia Berhad's (KLSE:GENM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Hospitality industry in Malaysia is similar at about 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Genting Malaysia Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:GENM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

How Has Genting Malaysia Berhad Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Genting Malaysia Berhad as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Genting Malaysia Berhad's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Genting Malaysia Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 125% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.6% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Genting Malaysia Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that Genting Malaysia Berhad's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Genting Malaysia Berhad has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Genting Malaysia Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Genting Malaysia Berhad is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.