Oceancash Pacific Berhad (KLSE:OCNCASH) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 36% Price Plummet
Oceancash Pacific Berhad (KLSE:OCNCASH) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 36% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Oceancash Pacific Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Malaysia's Luxury industry is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Oceancash Pacific Berhad
What Does Oceancash Pacific Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Oceancash Pacific Berhad over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Oceancash Pacific Berhad will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Oceancash Pacific Berhad?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Oceancash Pacific Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.3%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 3.0% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Oceancash Pacific Berhad's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Following Oceancash Pacific Berhad's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Oceancash Pacific Berhad currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Oceancash Pacific Berhad has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Oceancash Pacific Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.