Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:UNIQUE) Massive 32% Price Jump

KLSE:UNIQUE
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Unique Fire Holdings Berhad (KLSE:UNIQUE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Following the firm bounce in price, Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Malaysia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Unique Fire Holdings Berhad as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Unique Fire Holdings Berhad

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KLSE:UNIQUE Price Based on Past Earnings December 21st 2022
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Unique Fire Holdings Berhad.

How Is Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's Growth Trending?

Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.9% gain to the company's bottom line. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 55% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.6% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 8.7% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Unique Fire Holdings Berhad is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's P/E

The large bounce in Unique Fire Holdings Berhad's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Unique Fire Holdings Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Unique Fire Holdings Berhad that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Unique Fire Holdings Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.