Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Chin Hin Group Berhad (KLSE:CHINHIN) Is Using Debt Extensively

KLSE:CHINHIN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Chin Hin Group Berhad (KLSE:CHINHIN) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Chin Hin Group Berhad

What Is Chin Hin Group Berhad's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Chin Hin Group Berhad had RM468.9m of debt in September 2020, down from RM520.5m, one year before. However, it also had RM42.6m in cash, and so its net debt is RM426.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:CHINHIN Debt to Equity History February 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Chin Hin Group Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Chin Hin Group Berhad had liabilities of RM594.3m due within a year, and liabilities of RM89.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM42.6m as well as receivables valued at RM388.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM252.8m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Chin Hin Group Berhad has a market capitalization of RM917.6m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Chin Hin Group Berhad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.024 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Chin Hin Group Berhad's EBIT was down 99% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chin Hin Group Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Chin Hin Group Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Chin Hin Group Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Chin Hin Group Berhad's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Chin Hin Group Berhad has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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