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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As AWC Berhad (KLSE:AWC) Shares Dive 27%
AWC Berhad (KLSE:AWC) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 28% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AWC Berhad's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in Malaysia is also close to 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for AWC Berhad
What Does AWC Berhad's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
AWC Berhad could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AWC Berhad.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AWC Berhad?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AWC Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.6%. The latest three year period has also seen a 20% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.3% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 21% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that AWC Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From AWC Berhad's P/S?
Following AWC Berhad's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Given that AWC Berhad's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with AWC Berhad (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AWC Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:AWC
AWC Berhad
An investment holding company, provides integrated facilities management and engineering services.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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