Vistra Valuation
Is VST * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of VST * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: VST * (MX$1521) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2380.73)
Significantly Below Fair Value: VST * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VST *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is VST *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$32.74b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.9x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.4x |
PEG Ratio | 3.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does VST *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 15.5x | ||
601985 China National Nuclear Power | 16.8x | 8.8% | CN¥178.8b |
ADANIPOWER Adani Power | 13.9x | n/a | ₹2.7t |
1816 CGN Power | 12.7x | 5.8% | HK$202.9b |
NTPC NTPC | 18.6x | 8.5% | ₹3.6t |
VST * Vistra | 54.8x | 16.5% | Mex$32.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VST * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.8x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does VST *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Renewable Energy Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VST * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.8x) compared to the Global Renewable Energy industry average (16.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is VST *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 54.8x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VST *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$1,521.00 | Mex$1,623.25 +6.7% | 30.2% | Mex$2,240.20 | Mex$539.00 | n/a | 12 |
May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,212.02 0% | 28.0% | Mex$1,628.93 | Mex$548.69 | n/a | 11 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$979.55 0% | 24.5% | Mex$1,299.40 | Mex$533.09 | n/a | 10 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$918.00 | Mex$835.35 -9.0% | 20.7% | Mex$1,056.98 | Mex$443.25 | n/a | 10 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$732.59 0% | 13.9% | Mex$831.30 | Mex$450.29 | n/a | 10 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$683.87 0% | 14.9% | Mex$790.16 | Mex$446.61 | n/a | 10 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$683.89 0% | 14.7% | Mex$796.43 | Mex$450.15 | n/a | 10 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$668.19 0% | 13.2% | Mex$763.07 | Mex$472.38 | n/a | 9 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$620.47 0% | 12.8% | Mex$689.41 | Mex$448.12 | n/a | 9 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$530.90 | Mex$574.85 +8.3% | 13.8% | Mex$671.91 | Mex$403.14 | n/a | 9 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$547.87 0% | 12.1% | Mex$622.66 | Mex$403.89 | n/a | 9 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$553.46 0% | 12.0% | Mex$635.53 | Mex$412.23 | n/a | 9 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$574.65 0% | 12.1% | Mex$662.14 | Mex$429.50 | n/a | 9 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$573.24 0% | 12.1% | Mex$665.12 | Mex$431.43 | n/a | 9 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$424.50 | Mex$588.42 +38.6% | 11.3% | Mex$688.98 | Mex$446.90 | n/a | 10 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$556.74 0% | 9.6% | Mex$643.09 | Mex$422.60 | Mex$918.00 | 10 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$438.50 | Mex$569.16 +29.8% | 9.8% | Mex$657.45 | Mex$432.04 | n/a | 10 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$611.98 0% | 10.0% | Mex$693.19 | Mex$455.52 | n/a | 10 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$600.62 0% | 9.8% | Mex$682.52 | Mex$448.52 | n/a | 10 |
Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$621.85 0% | 9.9% | Mex$695.36 | Mex$456.95 | n/a | 10 |
Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$617.37 0% | 11.8% | Mex$699.08 | Mex$459.40 | n/a | 11 |
Sep ’23 | n/a | Mex$617.37 0% | 11.8% | Mex$699.08 | Mex$459.40 | Mex$530.90 | 11 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$622.64 0% | 11.8% | Mex$713.44 | Mex$468.83 | n/a | 11 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$513.01 | Mex$604.90 +17.9% | 11.6% | Mex$695.18 | Mex$456.83 | n/a | 11 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$513.01 | Mex$604.90 +17.9% | 11.6% | Mex$695.18 | Mex$456.83 | n/a | 11 |
May ’23 | n/a | Mex$585.12 0% | 11.9% | Mex$694.71 | Mex$449.52 | n/a | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.