NTPC Valuation

Is NTPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTPC (₹333.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹177.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTPC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTPC?

Key metric: As NTPC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NTPC. This is calculated by dividing NTPC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NTPC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.6x
Earnings₹220.73b
Market Cap₹3.23t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.5x
ADANIPOWER Adani Power
16.3xn/a₹1.9t
533148 JSW Energy
59.7x25.0%₹1.2t
513683 NLC India
17.8x17.9%₹327.1b
RPOWER Reliance Power
16.2xn/a₹179.8b
NTPC NTPC
14.6x3.5%₹3.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Renewable Energy Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
533122 RattanIndia Power
0.7xn/aUS$877.93m
GVKPIL GVK Power & Infrastructure
1.4xn/aUS$90.71m
No more companies available in this PE range
NTPC 14.6xIndustry Avg. 32.6xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the Indian Renewable Energy industry average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTPC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NTPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NTPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹333.25
₹445.80
+33.8%
12.9%₹500.00₹280.00n/a25
Dec ’25₹363.65
₹445.80
+22.6%
12.9%₹500.00₹280.00n/a25
Nov ’25₹411.35
₹445.21
+8.2%
12.9%₹500.00₹280.00n/a24
Oct ’25₹440.10
₹428.36
-2.7%
14.4%₹500.00₹271.00n/a25
Sep ’25₹416.20
₹427.96
+2.8%
14.9%₹523.00₹271.00n/a25
Aug ’25₹423.45
₹425.62
+0.5%
15.6%₹523.00₹271.00n/a26
Jul ’25₹369.75
₹407.80
+10.3%
15.6%₹523.00₹258.00n/a25
Jun ’25₹359.00
₹406.44
+13.2%
15.9%₹523.00₹258.00n/a25
May ’25₹363.20
₹371.52
+2.3%
13.8%₹523.00₹258.00n/a23
Apr ’25₹342.35
₹363.33
+6.1%
16.3%₹523.00₹215.00n/a24
Mar ’25₹343.50
₹361.42
+5.2%
16.0%₹523.00₹215.00n/a24
Feb ’25₹322.00
₹337.26
+4.7%
14.5%₹415.00₹215.00n/a23
Jan ’25₹309.75
₹283.91
-8.3%
13.4%₹380.00₹198.00n/a23
Dec ’24₹268.95
₹272.95
+1.5%
9.8%₹306.00₹198.00₹363.6521
Nov ’24₹232.60
₹265.82
+14.3%
10.2%₹300.00₹198.00₹411.3522
Oct ’24₹245.55
₹250.59
+2.1%
12.0%₹300.00₹177.00₹440.1022
Sep ’24₹230.70
₹238.09
+3.2%
11.8%₹275.00₹177.00₹416.2023
Aug ’24₹225.15
₹231.04
+2.6%
11.5%₹272.00₹177.00₹423.4523
Jul ’24₹189.15
₹204.91
+8.3%
6.2%₹233.00₹174.00₹369.7522
Jun ’24₹174.40
₹204.45
+17.2%
6.3%₹233.00₹174.00₹359.0022
May ’24₹172.00
₹201.41
+17.1%
5.4%₹223.00₹176.00₹363.2022
Apr ’24₹175.10
₹201.33
+15.0%
4.4%₹223.00₹180.00₹342.3521
Mar ’24₹172.25
₹201.41
+16.9%
5.0%₹223.00₹180.00₹343.5022
Feb ’24₹170.00
₹201.41
+18.5%
5.0%₹223.00₹180.00₹322.0022
Jan ’24₹166.45
₹196.90
+18.3%
5.5%₹220.00₹175.00₹309.7520
Dec ’23₹172.20
₹195.40
+13.5%
5.7%₹220.00₹175.00₹268.9520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 22:08
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NTPC Limited is covered by 63 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Satyadeep JainAmbit Capital
null nullAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited
null RESEARCH DEPARTMENTAngel Broking Private Limited