Stock Analysis

Does GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT) Have A Place In Your Dividend Portfolio?

BMV:GMXT *
Source: Shutterstock

Today we'll take a closer look at GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

In this case, GMéxico Transportes. de pays a decent-sized 3.2% dividend yield, and has been distributing cash to shareholders for the past three years. A high yield probably looks enticing, but investors are likely wondering about the short payment history. During the year, the company also conducted a buyback equivalent to around 1.4% of its market capitalisation. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying GMéxico Transportes. de for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on GMéxico Transportes. de!

historic-dividend
BMV:GMXT * Historic Dividend March 20th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. In the last year, GMéxico Transportes. de paid out 73% of its profit as dividends. A payout ratio above 50% generally implies a business is reaching maturity, although it is still possible to reinvest in the business or increase the dividend over time.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Of the free cash flow it generated last year, GMéxico Transportes. de paid out 35% as dividends, suggesting the dividend is affordable. It's positive to see that GMéxico Transportes. de's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of GMéxico Transportes. de's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. The dividend has not fluctuated much, but with a relatively short payment history, we can't be sure this is sustainable across a full market cycle. During the past three-year period, the first annual payment was Mex$0.6 in 2018, compared to Mex$1.1 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21% a year over that time.

We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

Dividend Growth Potential

While dividend payments have been relatively reliable, it would also be nice if earnings per share (EPS) were growing, as this is essential to maintaining the dividend's purchasing power over the long term. GMéxico Transportes. de has grown its earnings per share at 4.6% per annum over the past five years. 4.6% per annum is not a particularly high rate of growth, which we find curious. When a business is not growing, it often makes more sense to pay higher dividends to shareholders rather than retain the cash with no way to utilise it.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. GMéxico Transportes. de's payout ratios are within a normal range for the average corporation, and we like that its cashflow was stronger than reported profits. Second, earnings growth has been ordinary, and its history of dividend payments is shorter than we'd like. In sum, we find it hard to get excited about GMéxico Transportes. de from a dividend perspective. It's not that we think it's a bad business; just that there are other companies that perform better on these criteria.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for GMéxico Transportes. de that you should be aware of before investing.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BMV:GMXT *

GMéxico Transportes. de

Provides logistics and ground transportation solutions in Mexico.

High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.

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