Tractor Supply Company

BMV:TSCO1 * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$600.9b

Tractor Supply Valuation

Is TSCO1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSCO1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$1.02k
Fair Value
10.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
29
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TSCO1 * (MX$1132.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1021.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSCO1 * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSCO1 *?

Key metric: As TSCO1 * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSCO1 *. This is calculated by dividing TSCO1 *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSCO1 *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.4x
EarningsUS$1.10b
Market CapUS$29.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSCO1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSCO1 * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V
16.2xn/aMex$26.8b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.3x5.1%Mex$140.8b
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods
16.8x3.3%US$20.4b
ULTA Ulta Beauty
15.9x0.8%US$19.4b
TSCO1 * Tractor Supply
26.4x7.6%Mex$29.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSCO1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSCO1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies82PE01224364860+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSCO1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSCO1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSCO1 * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TSCO1 *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSCO1 * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,132.21
Mex$1,208.53
+6.7%
9.5%Mex$1,388.21Mex$951.24n/a29
Jan ’26Mex$1,118.14
Mex$1,187.07
+6.2%
10.4%Mex$1,423.36Mex$894.68n/a29
Dec ’25n/a
Mex$1,176.72
0%
10.5%Mex$1,360.94Mex$893.75n/a29
Nov ’25Mex$1,086.00
Mex$1,169.31
+7.7%
10.5%Mex$1,351.56Mex$887.59n/a29
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,084.99
0%
9.4%Mex$1,241.25Mex$807.80n/a29
Sep ’25Mex$1,056.00
Mex$1,025.80
-2.9%
9.2%Mex$1,179.03Mex$772.21n/a28
Aug ’25Mex$961.00
Mex$1,005.59
+4.6%
10.1%Mex$1,165.74Mex$763.50n/a29
Jul ’25Mex$994.00
Mex$994.13
+0.01%
10.4%Mex$1,168.03Mex$752.98n/a29
Jun ’25Mex$939.22
Mex$911.76
-2.9%
10.4%Mex$1,071.25Mex$690.59n/a29
May ’25Mex$934.20
Mex$904.85
-3.1%
10.0%Mex$1,038.09Mex$697.73n/a29
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$810.29
0%
10.5%Mex$951.15Mex$577.36n/a30
Mar ’25Mex$868.00
Mex$822.81
-5.2%
9.9%Mex$923.30Mex$591.60n/a29
Feb ’25Mex$797.20
Mex$783.33
-1.7%
10.9%Mex$922.67Mex$591.19Mex$1,132.2129
Jan ’25Mex$717.77
Mex$739.78
+3.1%
9.3%Mex$901.45Mex$582.50Mex$1,118.1430
Dec ’24Mex$724.56
Mex$743.33
+2.6%
8.6%Mex$909.82Mex$653.24n/a30
Nov ’24Mex$728.00
Mex$783.78
+7.7%
9.4%Mex$973.61Mex$685.13Mex$1,086.0030
Oct ’24Mex$724.00
Mex$861.97
+19.1%
7.6%Mex$983.09Mex$737.32n/a30
Sep ’24Mex$744.70
Mex$835.18
+12.2%
7.2%Mex$952.41Mex$714.31Mex$1,056.0030
Aug ’24Mex$746.80
Mex$823.00
+10.2%
7.2%Mex$937.69Mex$703.26Mex$961.0031
Jul ’24Mex$760.00
Mex$865.32
+13.9%
6.2%Mex$956.32Mex$730.90Mex$994.0031
Jun ’24Mex$727.46
Mex$915.02
+25.8%
6.2%Mex$1,006.76Mex$769.45Mex$939.2231
May ’24Mex$882.50
Mex$909.62
+3.1%
6.1%Mex$1,004.00Mex$767.34Mex$934.2031
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$890.04
0%
6.3%Mex$987.86Mex$759.89n/a31
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$895.21
0%
6.6%Mex$992.31Mex$698.29Mex$868.0031
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$902.54
0%
7.0%Mex$1,005.53Mex$692.70Mex$797.2029
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 29 Analysts
Mex$1.21k
Fair Value
6.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
29
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 07:19
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tractor Supply Company is covered by 58 analysts. 28 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Deborah CiervoArgus Research Company
Jeff BlackAvondale Partners
Peter BenedictBaird