Match Group Valuation
Is MTCH1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MTCH1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MTCH1 * (MX$640.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1418.91)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MTCH1 * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTCH1 *?
Key metric: As MTCH1 * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MTCH1 *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 13.1x |
| Earnings | US$622.64m |
| Market Cap | US$8.16b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MTCH1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 65.2x | ||
MEGA CPO Megacable Holdings S. A. B. de C. V | 13.3x | 21.9% | Mex$33.1b |
300418 Kunlun Tech | 187.1x | 54.0% | CN¥56.8b |
G24 Scout24 | 35.1x | 14.8% | €6.2b |
RMV Rightmove | 25.5x | 7.7% | UK£5.1b |
MTCH1 * Match Group | 13.1x | 10.0% | Mex$8.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTCH1 * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (65.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MTCH1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Interactive Media and Services Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTCH1 * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the Global Interactive Media and Services industry average (21.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MTCH1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 13.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTCH1 *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$801.83 0% | 13.1% | Mex$1,090.81 | Mex$679.19 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | Mex$839.47 0% | 12.1% | Mex$1,066.63 | Mex$678.18 | n/a | 25 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$715.08 | Mex$869.58 +21.6% | 11.8% | Mex$1,104.88 | Mex$702.50 | n/a | 25 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$839.59 0% | 11.6% | Mex$1,067.76 | Mex$678.90 | n/a | 25 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$700.00 | Mex$801.25 +14.5% | 13.5% | Mex$1,032.47 | Mex$638.25 | n/a | 25 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$705.95 0% | 17.3% | Mex$1,006.25 | Mex$548.87 | n/a | 24 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$652.55 0% | 17.1% | Mex$933.11 | Mex$508.97 | n/a | 25 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$750.42 0% | 14.2% | Mex$935.98 | Mex$527.55 | n/a | 26 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$744.85 0% | 14.1% | Mex$916.25 | Mex$516.43 | n/a | 26 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$614.50 | Mex$762.70 +24.1% | 14.0% | Mex$937.64 | Mex$528.49 | n/a | 26 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$642.00 | Mex$776.82 +21.0% | 17.0% | Mex$1,110.62 | Mex$529.68 | n/a | 25 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$594.97 | Mex$729.08 +22.5% | 21.8% | Mex$1,103.71 | Mex$509.40 | n/a | 24 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$777.60 0% | 22.0% | Mex$1,140.62 | Mex$526.44 | n/a | 24 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$616.37 | Mex$885.79 +43.7% | 28.2% | Mex$1,727.79 | Mex$534.37 | n/a | 24 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$995.03 0% | 19.0% | Mex$1,688.02 | Mex$765.70 | Mex$715.08 | 23 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$983.42 0% | 19.0% | Mex$1,661.61 | Mex$753.72 | n/a | 22 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$783.00 | Mex$911.31 +16.4% | 23.8% | Mex$1,601.82 | Mex$623.87 | Mex$700.00 | 21 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$911.41 0% | 24.3% | Mex$1,626.35 | Mex$633.42 | n/a | 21 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$608.44 | Mex$934.36 +53.6% | 24.3% | Mex$1,681.70 | Mex$619.57 | n/a | 23 |
| May ’24 | Mex$630.34 | Mex$1,060.91 +68.3% | 20.1% | Mex$1,703.22 | Mex$717.14 | n/a | 23 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$742.03 | Mex$1,144.42 +54.2% | 16.2% | Mex$1,712.13 | Mex$901.12 | n/a | 22 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,185.98 0% | 15.4% | Mex$1,700.12 | Mex$944.51 | Mex$614.50 | 23 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,174.74 0% | 17.6% | Mex$1,675.89 | Mex$856.57 | Mex$642.00 | 23 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$764.02 | Mex$1,264.43 +65.5% | 17.2% | Mex$1,766.82 | Mex$883.41 | Mex$594.97 | 22 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$917.53 | Mex$1,292.43 +40.9% | 17.0% | Mex$1,749.78 | Mex$874.89 | n/a | 21 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$877.05 | Mex$1,479.69 +68.7% | 19.7% | Mex$2,397.54 | Mex$1,109.61 | Mex$616.37 | 22 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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