Stock Analysis

Is Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:PE&OLES) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

BMV:PE&OLES *
Source: Shutterstock

It is hard to get excited after looking at Industrias Peñoles. de's (BMV:PE&OLES) recent performance, when its stock has declined 16% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on Industrias Peñoles. de's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Industrias Peñoles. de

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Industrias Peñoles. de is:

4.6% = US$244m ÷ US$5.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every MX$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated MX$0.05 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Industrias Peñoles. de's Earnings Growth And 4.6% ROE

It is quite clear that Industrias Peñoles. de's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, the disappointing ROE therefore provides a background to Industrias Peñoles. de's very little net income growth of 3.7% over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Industrias Peñoles. de's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 30% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:PE&OLES * Past Earnings Growth January 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Industrias Peñoles. de's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Industrias Peñoles. de Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. We infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 35% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Industrias Peñoles. de is speculated to rise to 8.5% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Industrias Peñoles. de's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.