Constellation Brands Valuation
Is STZ * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of STZ * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: STZ * (MX$3996.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$5127.44)
Significantly Below Fair Value: STZ * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STZ *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is STZ *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$45.47b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 5.8x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16.1x |
PEG Ratio | 2.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does STZ *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 21.8x | ||
CUERVO * Becle. de | 25.8x | 16.0% | Mex$115.9b |
FEMSA UBD Fomento Económico Mexicano. de | 24.5x | 12.7% | Mex$631.3b |
AC * Arca Continental. de | 15.8x | 8.5% | Mex$276.5b |
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de | 20.9x | 11.6% | Mex$288.1b |
STZ * Constellation Brands | 26x | 11.2% | Mex$45.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STZ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does STZ *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STZ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (19x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is STZ *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 26x |
Fair PE Ratio | 24.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STZ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$3,996.60 | Mex$5,012.27 +25.4% | 4.9% | Mex$5,514.04 | Mex$4,411.23 | n/a | 24 |
May ’25 | Mex$4,475.00 | Mex$5,124.48 +14.5% | 4.8% | Mex$5,634.45 | Mex$4,507.56 | n/a | 25 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$4,495.00 | Mex$4,908.46 +9.2% | 5.6% | Mex$5,438.58 | Mex$4,183.53 | n/a | 25 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$4,235.76 | Mex$4,996.37 +18.0% | 5.7% | Mex$5,557.05 | Mex$4,274.65 | n/a | 24 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$4,300.00 | Mex$4,996.37 +16.2% | 5.7% | Mex$5,557.05 | Mex$4,274.65 | n/a | 24 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$4,105.96 | Mex$4,933.71 +20.2% | 5.2% | Mex$5,280.84 | Mex$4,279.01 | n/a | 23 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$4,158.00 | Mex$5,151.96 +23.9% | 5.0% | Mex$5,488.75 | Mex$4,394.53 | n/a | 23 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$4,205.00 | Mex$5,307.43 +26.2% | 5.4% | Mex$5,670.34 | Mex$4,448.75 | n/a | 22 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$4,435.00 | Mex$5,084.38 +14.6% | 5.8% | Mex$5,490.77 | Mex$4,235.73 | n/a | 22 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$4,420.00 | Mex$4,762.49 +7.7% | 7.3% | Mex$5,283.18 | Mex$4,025.28 | n/a | 22 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$4,500.00 | Mex$4,740.15 +5.3% | 8.0% | Mex$5,332.67 | Mex$4,062.98 | n/a | 23 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$4,227.00 | Mex$4,628.22 +9.5% | 6.6% | Mex$5,135.85 | Mex$4,005.96 | n/a | 23 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$4,093.00 | Mex$4,651.31 +13.6% | 7.7% | Mex$5,218.08 | Mex$3,856.07 | n/a | 24 |
May ’24 | Mex$4,039.39 | Mex$4,671.78 +15.7% | 8.3% | Mex$5,304.07 | Mex$3,883.66 | Mex$4,475.00 | 24 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$4,061.00 | Mex$4,621.50 +13.8% | 9.9% | Mex$5,427.78 | Mex$3,618.52 | Mex$4,495.00 | 25 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$3,958.00 | Mex$4,690.57 +18.5% | 9.5% | Mex$5,506.77 | Mex$3,671.18 | Mex$4,235.76 | 26 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$4,290.00 | Mex$4,751.26 +10.8% | 9.7% | Mex$5,586.30 | Mex$3,724.20 | Mex$4,300.00 | 25 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$4,555.00 | Mex$5,379.22 +18.1% | 6.3% | Mex$6,034.40 | Mex$4,632.86 | Mex$4,105.96 | 26 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$4,940.00 | Mex$5,405.76 +9.4% | 6.4% | Mex$6,045.22 | Mex$4,641.17 | Mex$4,158.00 | 24 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$4,865.00 | Mex$5,504.20 +13.1% | 6.4% | Mex$6,175.73 | Mex$4,741.36 | Mex$4,205.00 | 24 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$4,638.10 | Mex$5,554.65 +19.8% | 6.8% | Mex$6,354.56 | Mex$4,841.57 | Mex$4,435.00 | 23 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$4,930.00 | Mex$5,509.52 +11.8% | 7.0% | Mex$6,300.95 | Mex$4,800.72 | Mex$4,420.00 | 23 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$5,046.00 | Mex$5,602.85 +11.0% | 7.1% | Mex$6,420.99 | Mex$4,892.18 | Mex$4,500.00 | 22 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$4,688.62 | Mex$5,504.07 +17.4% | 7.0% | Mex$6,174.94 | Mex$4,555.28 | Mex$4,227.00 | 22 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$4,800.50 | Mex$5,378.21 +12.0% | 7.0% | Mex$6,002.89 | Mex$4,428.36 | Mex$4,093.00 | 23 |
May ’23 | Mex$5,000.00 | Mex$5,568.97 +11.4% | 7.0% | Mex$6,222.73 | Mex$4,590.54 | Mex$4,039.39 | 23 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.