Mondelez International, Inc.

BMV:MDLZ * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$1.8t

Mondelez International Valuation

Is MDLZ * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDLZ * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDLZ * (MX$1320.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2438.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDLZ * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDLZ *?

Key metric: As MDLZ * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MDLZ *. This is calculated by dividing MDLZ *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is MDLZ *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.8x
EarningsUS$3.82b
Market CapUS$86.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MDLZ *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MDLZ * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
20.4x20.9%Mex$261.8b
GRUMA B Gruma. de
12.3x7.0%Mex$126.0b
BACHOCO B Industrias Bachoco. de
14xn/aMex$50.9b
BAFAR B Grupo Bafar. de
11.4xn/aMex$36.3b
MDLZ * Mondelez International
22.8x10.6%Mex$86.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MDLZ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MDLZ *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies14PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MDLZ * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the South American Food industry average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDLZ *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDLZ * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MDLZ *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MDLZ * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$1,640.55
0%
4.6%Mex$1,878.08Mex$1,531.04n/a25
Nov ’25Mex$1,391.03
Mex$1,615.86
+16.2%
4.4%Mex$1,841.47Mex$1,501.20n/a25
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,569.23
0%
4.5%Mex$1,725.96Mex$1,470.99n/a24
Sep ’25Mex$1,402.81
Mex$1,555.35
+10.9%
4.8%Mex$1,745.28Mex$1,447.79n/a24
Aug ’25Mex$1,279.07
Mex$1,458.96
+14.1%
5.5%Mex$1,639.45Mex$1,304.11n/a23
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$1,472.37
0%
5.0%Mex$1,651.78Mex$1,339.78n/a23
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$1,379.29
0%
4.2%Mex$1,526.91Mex$1,272.43n/a24
May ’25Mex$1,239.27
Mex$1,387.23
+11.9%
4.7%Mex$1,531.60Mex$1,242.30n/a24
Apr ’25Mex$1,164.11
Mex$1,382.00
+18.7%
4.1%Mex$1,480.20Mex$1,214.10n/a25
Mar ’25Mex$1,255.00
Mex$1,416.21
+12.8%
4.1%Mex$1,514.66Mex$1,242.36n/a25
Feb ’25Mex$1,298.00
Mex$1,412.92
+8.9%
4.5%Mex$1,520.70Mex$1,247.31n/a25
Jan ’25Mex$1,222.50
Mex$1,367.18
+11.8%
5.5%Mex$1,519.17Mex$1,177.78n/a24
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$1,371.01
0%
6.0%Mex$1,540.91Mex$1,194.64n/a23
Nov ’24Mex$1,198.00
Mex$1,401.59
+17.0%
7.7%Mex$1,585.29Mex$1,157.80Mex$1,391.0322
Oct ’24Mex$1,206.00
Mex$1,453.20
+20.5%
5.4%Mex$1,573.83Mex$1,237.85n/a23
Sep ’24Mex$1,190.00
Mex$1,408.72
+18.4%
5.3%Mex$1,517.43Mex$1,193.49Mex$1,402.8121
Aug ’24Mex$1,241.00
Mex$1,394.59
+12.4%
5.3%Mex$1,500.66Mex$1,180.29Mex$1,279.0721
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$1,379.86
0%
5.2%Mex$1,468.58Mex$1,195.36n/a21
Jun ’24Mex$1,281.00
Mex$1,456.12
+13.7%
5.3%Mex$1,546.10Mex$1,258.45n/a21
May ’24Mex$1,397.00
Mex$1,428.44
+2.3%
6.4%Mex$1,541.86Mex$1,237.07Mex$1,239.2723
Apr ’24Mex$1,275.00
Mex$1,401.51
+9.9%
4.5%Mex$1,505.86Mex$1,298.80Mex$1,164.1123
Mar ’24Mex$1,200.00
Mex$1,423.37
+18.6%
4.8%Mex$1,532.31Mex$1,264.16Mex$1,255.0024
Feb ’24Mex$1,232.93
Mex$1,378.73
+11.8%
5.1%Mex$1,489.68Mex$1,228.99Mex$1,298.0024
Jan ’24Mex$1,296.00
Mex$1,416.88
+9.3%
4.4%Mex$1,512.65Mex$1,296.56Mex$1,222.5024
Dec ’23Mex$1,311.40
Mex$1,375.92
+4.9%
3.7%Mex$1,472.36Mex$1,278.63n/a23
Nov ’23Mex$1,247.32
Mex$1,376.02
+10.3%
5.1%Mex$1,486.08Mex$1,248.31Mex$1,198.0022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Altria Group

US$97.9b

Through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States.

MO *

US$1,148.50

7D

0%

1Y

57.3%

Grupo Bimbo. de

Mex$261.8b

Produces, distributes, and sells various bakery products.

BIMBO A

Mex$59.77

7D

-1.9%

1Y

-31.3%

Molson Coors Beverage

US$11.2b

Manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products under various brands in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

TAP1 *

US$943.70

7D

0%

1Y

-11.6%