Kellanova Valuation
Is K * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of K * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: K * (MX$1077.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1533.88)
Significantly Below Fair Value: K * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for K *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is K *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$19.62b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.2x |
PEG Ratio | 1.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does K *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 15.3x | ||
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de | 20.6x | 12.2% | Mex$285.1b |
GRUMA B Gruma. de | 15x | 6.8% | Mex$121.1b |
BACHOCO B Industrias Bachoco. de | 14x | n/a | Mex$50.9b |
BAFAR B Grupo Bafar. de | 11.4x | n/a | Mex$36.3b |
K * Kellanova | 24.3x | 13.8% | Mex$19.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: K * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does K *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: K * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the South American Food industry average (10.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is K *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 24.3x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate K *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$1,077.50 | Mex$1,160.00 +7.7% | 6.4% | Mex$1,376.48 | Mex$1,082.83 | n/a | 19 |
Jun ’25 | Mex$1,002.00 | Mex$1,065.45 +6.3% | 6.5% | Mex$1,267.34 | Mex$996.97 | n/a | 19 |
May ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,029.91 0% | 7.1% | Mex$1,285.13 | Mex$942.43 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$990.45 0% | 7.6% | Mex$1,246.82 | Mex$897.71 | n/a | 19 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$980.34 | Mex$1,024.35 +4.5% | 8.3% | Mex$1,276.40 | Mex$936.02 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,011.35 0% | 10.0% | Mex$1,281.49 | Mex$905.58 | n/a | 20 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$1,009.11 0% | 10.7% | Mex$1,287.59 | Mex$892.73 | n/a | 19 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,046.38 0% | 11.1% | Mex$1,340.50 | Mex$929.41 | n/a | 18 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,102.62 0% | 12.5% | Mex$1,352.24 | Mex$955.58 | n/a | 18 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,217.07 0% | 9.8% | Mex$1,464.20 | Mex$993.57 | n/a | 18 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$1,037.90 | Mex$1,234.24 +18.9% | 6.8% | Mex$1,431.65 | Mex$1,090.78 | n/a | 17 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$1,120.00 | Mex$1,231.34 +9.9% | 6.4% | Mex$1,414.62 | Mex$1,077.80 | n/a | 18 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,242.88 0% | 7.0% | Mex$1,434.43 | Mex$1,058.74 | n/a | 18 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,274.67 0% | 6.4% | Mex$1,474.49 | Mex$1,088.31 | Mex$1,002.00 | 18 |
May ’24 | Mex$1,248.60 | Mex$1,319.21 +5.7% | 6.6% | Mex$1,520.19 | Mex$1,194.44 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$1,204.00 | Mex$1,316.47 +9.3% | 7.4% | Mex$1,520.32 | Mex$1,104.05 | n/a | 19 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$1,252.00 | Mex$1,364.94 +9.0% | 6.8% | Mex$1,529.92 | Mex$1,138.11 | Mex$980.34 | 19 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$1,350.00 | Mex$1,378.05 +2.1% | 7.1% | Mex$1,539.07 | Mex$1,107.38 | n/a | 19 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,452.03 0% | 7.4% | Mex$1,621.05 | Mex$1,126.83 | n/a | 20 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$1,395.00 | Mex$1,421.02 +1.9% | 7.4% | Mex$1,588.60 | Mex$1,104.27 | n/a | 20 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$1,530.35 | Mex$1,479.90 -3.3% | 7.5% | Mex$1,638.73 | Mex$1,099.15 | n/a | 19 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$1,421.00 | Mex$1,493.88 +5.1% | 6.9% | Mex$1,654.20 | Mex$1,149.87 | n/a | 19 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$1,475.00 | Mex$1,482.96 +0.5% | 7.0% | Mex$1,642.12 | Mex$1,141.47 | Mex$1,037.90 | 19 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$1,480.00 | Mex$1,471.95 -0.5% | 8.9% | Mex$1,671.50 | Mex$1,121.13 | Mex$1,120.00 | 19 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$1,436.00 | Mex$1,471.86 +2.5% | 9.8% | Mex$1,761.38 | Mex$1,113.51 | n/a | 20 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$1,353.50 | Mex$1,419.26 +4.9% | 10.1% | Mex$1,745.04 | Mex$1,090.65 | n/a | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.