The Hershey Company

BMV:HSY * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$726.3b

Hershey Valuation

Is HSY * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HSY * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HSY * (MX$3500) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4877.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HSY * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HSY *?

Key metric: As HSY * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HSY *. This is calculated by dividing HSY *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is HSY *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUS$1.77b
Market CapUS$35.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HSY *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HSY * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
BIMBO A Grupo Bimbo. de
20.3x20.7%Mex$260.7b
GRUMA B Gruma. de
11.9x7.0%Mex$123.8b
BACHOCO B Industrias Bachoco. de
14xn/aMex$50.9b
BAFAR B Grupo Bafar. de
11.4xn/aMex$36.3b
HSY * Hershey
19.8x2.7%Mex$35.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HSY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HSY *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies14PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HSY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the South American Food industry average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HSY *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HSY * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HSY *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HSY * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$3,500.00
Mex$3,749.09
+7.1%
9.6%Mex$4,531.89Mex$3,123.33n/a25
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$3,909.62
0%
8.6%Mex$4,643.71Mex$3,222.58n/a25
Oct ’25Mex$3,856.59
Mex$3,974.61
+3.1%
8.0%Mex$4,567.62Mex$3,209.14n/a24
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$4,026.10
0%
7.2%Mex$4,601.19Mex$3,550.05n/a24
Aug ’25Mex$3,595.00
Mex$3,791.18
+5.5%
6.7%Mex$4,355.13Mex$3,360.21n/a22
Jul ’25Mex$3,355.00
Mex$3,797.56
+13.2%
7.3%Mex$4,386.39Mex$3,285.20n/a23
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$3,439.09
0%
7.9%Mex$3,975.48Mex$2,827.75n/a24
May ’25Mex$3,250.00
Mex$3,507.47
+7.9%
7.9%Mex$4,050.76Mex$2,893.40n/a24
Apr ’25Mex$3,202.63
Mex$3,495.54
+9.1%
6.5%Mex$3,964.84Mex$3,048.60n/a24
Mar ’25Mex$3,194.80
Mex$3,580.22
+12.1%
6.9%Mex$4,050.43Mex$3,114.40n/a24
Feb ’25Mex$3,380.00
Mex$3,575.18
+5.8%
8.3%Mex$4,237.45Mex$3,075.57n/a25
Jan ’25Mex$3,145.00
Mex$3,611.56
+14.8%
8.3%Mex$4,224.01Mex$3,065.81n/a24
Dec ’24Mex$3,240.00
Mex$3,697.53
+14.1%
9.2%Mex$4,283.00Mex$3,083.76n/a23
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$3,965.49
0%
9.8%Mex$4,567.54Mex$3,249.63n/a23
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$4,397.37
0%
8.3%Mex$5,229.30Mex$3,416.48Mex$3,856.5922
Sep ’24Mex$3,770.00
Mex$4,358.87
+15.6%
8.3%Mex$5,026.56Mex$3,284.02n/a20
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$4,383.60
0%
8.8%Mex$5,023.32Mex$3,214.92Mex$3,595.0020
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$4,660.09
0%
8.6%Mex$5,293.72Mex$3,278.69Mex$3,355.0020
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$4,835.90
0%
8.8%Mex$5,522.77Mex$3,420.56n/a20
May ’24Mex$4,926.65
Mex$4,830.86
-1.9%
9.5%Mex$5,557.87Mex$3,227.15Mex$3,250.0020
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$4,556.45
0%
8.4%Mex$5,067.75Mex$3,257.84Mex$3,202.6320
Mar ’24Mex$4,380.00
Mex$4,566.24
+4.3%
9.6%Mex$5,171.32Mex$3,121.26Mex$3,194.8021
Feb ’24Mex$4,202.27
Mex$4,498.22
+7.0%
9.2%Mex$5,082.59Mex$3,181.32Mex$3,380.0021
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$4,726.07
0%
9.0%Mex$5,304.10Mex$3,319.97Mex$3,145.0021
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$4,598.92
0%
8.4%Mex$5,230.76Mex$3,274.07Mex$3,240.0021
Nov ’23Mex$4,675.00
Mex$4,667.89
-0.2%
9.0%Mex$5,127.34Mex$3,317.69n/a20

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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