Stock Analysis

Here's Why Grupo Herdez. de (BMV:HERDEZ) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

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BMV:HERDEZ *

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:HERDEZ) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Grupo Herdez. de

What Is Grupo Herdez. de's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Grupo Herdez. de had Mex$9.50b of debt in March 2024, down from Mex$10.5b, one year before. On the flip side, it has Mex$3.86b in cash leading to net debt of about Mex$5.64b.

BMV:HERDEZ * Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2024

A Look At Grupo Herdez. de's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupo Herdez. de had liabilities of Mex$9.74b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$11.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$3.86b and Mex$5.97b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$11.3b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of Mex$17.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Grupo Herdez. de's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Grupo Herdez. de has net debt of just 0.96 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.5 times the interest expense over the last year. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Grupo Herdez. de has boosted its EBIT by 33%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grupo Herdez. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Grupo Herdez. de produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Grupo Herdez. de's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Grupo Herdez. de takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Grupo Herdez. de you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.