Stock Analysis

Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GRUMAB) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

BMV:GRUMA B
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When close to half the companies in Mexico have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GRUMAB) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 16.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been advantageous for Gruma. de as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Gruma. de

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BMV:GRUMA B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Gruma. de.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Gruma. de's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 62% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.7% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.2% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Gruma. de is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Gruma. de currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Gruma. de that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gruma. de, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.