Can Mixed Financials Have A Negative Impact on Becle, S.A.B. de C.V.'s 's (BMV:CUERVO) Current Price Momentum?
Most readers would already know that Becle. de's (BMV:CUERVO) stock increased by 6.5% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. In this article, we decided to focus on Becle. de's ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
Check out our latest analysis for Becle. de
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Becle. de is:
10% = Mex$5.7b ÷ Mex$56b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every MX$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn MX$0.10 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
Becle. de's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE
On the face of it, Becle. de's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 10%, we may spare it some thought. However, Becle. de has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Becle. de's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 5.7% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Becle. de fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Becle. de Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 36% (implying that the company keeps 64% of its income) over the last three years, Becle. de has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Additionally, Becle. de has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 65% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.
Summary
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Becle. de's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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About BMV:CUERVO *
Becle. de
Manufactures and distributes spirits and other distilled beverages in Mexico, the United States, Canada, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.