Are Becle, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:CUERVO) Mixed Financials Driving The Negative Sentiment?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Becle. de's (BMV:CUERVO) recent performance, when its stock has declined 23% over the past three months. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study Becle. de's ROE in this article.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
Check out our latest analysis for Becle. de
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Becle. de is:
6.8% = Mex$4.4b ÷ Mex$65b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every MX$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated MX$0.07 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Becle. de's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE
As you can see, Becle. de's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 11%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Becle. de over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.
We then compared Becle. de's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 6.5% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CUERVO *? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
Is Becle. de Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 31% (meaning the company retains69% of profits) in the last three-year period, Becle. de's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
In addition, Becle. de has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 34% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Becle. de is predicted to rise to 11% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Summary
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Becle. de. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:CUERVO *
Becle. de
Manufactures and distributes spirits and other distilled beverages in Mexico, the United States, Canada, and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.