Talos Energy Valuation
Is TALO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of TALO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: TALO * (MX$245.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$416.08)
Significantly Below Fair Value: TALO * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TALO *?
Key metric: As TALO * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is TALO *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 26.8x |
| Earnings | US$74.01m |
| Market Cap | US$1.98b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 2.8x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does TALO *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 9x | ||
VISTA A Vista Energy. de | 9.2x | 14.6% | Mex$95.2b |
NVA NuVista Energy | 9x | 13.6% | CA$2.7b |
ATH Athabasca Oil | 11.8x | 1.7% | CA$2.7b |
1662 Japan Petroleum Exploration | 6x | -13.2% | JP¥284.4b |
TALO * Talos Energy | 26.8x | -82.6% | Mex$2.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TALO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x) compared to the peer average (9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does TALO *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?
| 27 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TALO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.8x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is TALO *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 26.8x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TALO *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | Mex$343.06 0% | 19.4% | Mex$445.28 | Mex$263.12 | n/a | 10 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$205.14 | Mex$334.01 +62.8% | 20.8% | Mex$438.69 | Mex$249.26 | n/a | 10 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$200.00 | Mex$344.35 +72.2% | 17.2% | Mex$424.41 | Mex$270.08 | n/a | 10 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | Mex$345.90 0% | 20.4% | Mex$467.44 | Mex$261.76 | n/a | 9 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | Mex$331.84 0% | 19.7% | Mex$430.50 | Mex$251.12 | n/a | 9 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | Mex$356.74 0% | 15.9% | Mex$440.47 | Mex$256.94 | n/a | 8 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | Mex$329.77 0% | 15.9% | Mex$407.18 | Mex$237.52 | n/a | 8 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$336.74 0% | 15.9% | Mex$443.93 | Mex$256.11 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | Mex$312.74 0% | 15.6% | Mex$415.61 | Mex$249.36 | n/a | 8 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | Mex$335.65 0% | 17.8% | Mex$429.70 | Mex$223.44 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$335.65 0% | 17.8% | Mex$429.70 | Mex$223.44 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$351.09 0% | 17.8% | Mex$432.68 | Mex$224.99 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$361.00 0% | 15.1% | Mex$429.76 | Mex$257.86 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$360.75 0% | 14.0% | Mex$426.09 | Mex$272.69 | Mex$205.14 | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$360.75 0% | 14.0% | Mex$426.09 | Mex$272.69 | Mex$200.00 | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | Mex$360.75 0% | 14.0% | Mex$426.09 | Mex$272.69 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$367.91 0% | 13.1% | Mex$406.18 | Mex$264.90 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$367.91 0% | 13.1% | Mex$406.18 | Mex$264.90 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$367.91 0% | 13.1% | Mex$406.18 | Mex$264.90 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | n/a | Mex$433.09 0% | 31.5% | Mex$721.82 | Mex$288.73 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$441.46 0% | 34.9% | Mex$723.70 | Mex$289.48 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$511.41 0% | 25.1% | Mex$724.12 | Mex$380.16 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$535.35 0% | 24.3% | Mex$744.84 | Mex$391.04 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$559.95 0% | 19.7% | Mex$781.33 | Mex$410.20 | n/a | 6 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$558.06 0% | 18.8% | Mex$774.18 | Mex$425.80 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$575.31 0% | 18.0% | Mex$793.53 | Mex$456.28 | n/a | 6 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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