Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd.

TSE:1662 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥279.2b

Japan Petroleum Exploration Valuation

Is 1662 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1662 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1662 (¥1090) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1859.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1662 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1662?

Key metric: As 1662 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1662. This is calculated by dividing 1662's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1662's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.9x
EarningsJP¥47.03b
Market CapJP¥279.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1662's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1662 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.4x
1605 Inpex
6.1x-5.4%JP¥2.4t
8088 Iwatani
8.6x5.3%JP¥431.7b
8133 Itochu EnexLtd
14.2xn/aJP¥182.2b
5021 Cosmo Energy Holdings
8.6x8.6%JP¥570.8b
1662 Japan Petroleum Exploration
5.9x-13.2%JP¥279.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1662 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1662's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1662 5.9xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies36PE0816243240+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1662 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1662's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1662 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.9x
Fair PE Ratio4.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1662 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1662 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,090.00
JP¥1,325.50
+21.6%
10.4%JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,130.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥1,123.00
JP¥1,333.00
+18.7%
9.6%JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,160.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥1,048.00
JP¥1,333.00
+27.2%
9.6%JP¥1,520.00JP¥1,160.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥1,164.00
JP¥1,358.00
+16.7%
11.2%JP¥1,516.00JP¥1,160.00n/a4
Aug ’25JP¥1,214.00
JP¥1,327.50
+9.3%
9.6%JP¥1,496.00JP¥1,160.00n/a4
Jul ’25JP¥1,296.00
JP¥1,327.50
+2.4%
9.6%JP¥1,496.00JP¥1,160.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥1,318.00
JP¥1,181.00
-10.4%
17.5%JP¥1,496.00JP¥920.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥1,326.00
JP¥1,143.50
-13.8%
13.4%JP¥1,346.00JP¥920.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥1,332.00
JP¥1,143.50
-14.2%
13.4%JP¥1,346.00JP¥920.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥1,224.00
JP¥1,123.50
-8.2%
14.2%JP¥1,346.00JP¥920.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,208.00
JP¥996.00
-17.5%
8.0%JP¥1,104.00JP¥920.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,048.00
JP¥996.00
-5.0%
8.0%JP¥1,104.00JP¥920.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥1,144.00
JP¥1,016.80
-11.1%
7.3%JP¥1,104.00JP¥920.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥1,026.00
JP¥954.80
-6.9%
4.2%JP¥1,000.00JP¥898.00JP¥1,123.005
Oct ’24JP¥1,126.00
JP¥944.80
-16.1%
3.6%JP¥996.00JP¥898.00JP¥1,048.005
Sep ’24JP¥985.00
JP¥928.80
-5.7%
4.4%JP¥996.00JP¥880.00JP¥1,164.005
Aug ’24JP¥998.00
JP¥923.20
-7.5%
5.1%JP¥980.00JP¥856.00JP¥1,214.005
Jul ’24JP¥860.00
JP¥913.20
+6.2%
5.0%JP¥980.00JP¥856.00JP¥1,296.005
Jun ’24JP¥842.00
JP¥925.20
+9.9%
4.7%JP¥980.00JP¥856.00JP¥1,318.005
May ’24JP¥901.00
JP¥950.80
+5.5%
3.5%JP¥994.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,326.005
Apr ’24JP¥893.00
JP¥950.80
+6.5%
3.5%JP¥994.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,332.005
Mar ’24JP¥1,022.00
JP¥889.20
-13.0%
4.0%JP¥940.00JP¥830.00JP¥1,224.005
Feb ’24JP¥852.00
JP¥898.00
+5.4%
5.5%JP¥984.00JP¥830.00JP¥1,208.005
Jan ’24JP¥769.00
JP¥898.00
+16.8%
5.5%JP¥984.00JP¥830.00JP¥1,048.005
Dec ’23JP¥848.00
JP¥902.00
+6.4%
5.4%JP¥984.00JP¥830.00JP¥1,144.005
Nov ’23JP¥783.00
JP¥866.00
+10.6%
11.5%JP¥1,038.00JP¥740.00JP¥1,026.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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