Iwatani Valuation

Is 8088 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8088 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8088 (¥1870) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥760.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8088 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8088?

Key metric: As 8088 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8088. This is calculated by dividing 8088's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8088's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
EarningsJP¥50.39b
Market CapJP¥430.36b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8088's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8088 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.8x
9130 Kyoei Tanker
1.7xn/aJP¥8.9b
9074 Japan Oil Transportation
7.3xn/aJP¥9.2b
5021 Cosmo Energy Holdings
8.4x8.6%JP¥557.8b
1662 Japan Petroleum Exploration
5.8x-13.2%JP¥274.1b
8088 Iwatani
8.5x5.3%JP¥430.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8088 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (5.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8088's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8088 8.5xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies36PE0816243240+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8088 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8088's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8088 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio6.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8088 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8088 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,870.00
JP¥2,806.00
+50.1%
16.3%JP¥3,280.00JP¥2,188.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥1,974.00
JP¥2,806.00
+42.1%
16.3%JP¥3,280.00JP¥2,188.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,117.50
JP¥2,806.00
+32.5%
16.3%JP¥3,280.00JP¥2,188.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,212.00
JP¥2,975.00
+34.5%
7.9%JP¥3,275.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,282.00
JP¥2,975.00
+30.4%
7.9%JP¥3,275.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥2,453.00
JP¥2,666.67
+8.7%
19.2%JP¥3,275.00JP¥2,025.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,279.75
JP¥2,627.50
+15.3%
18.4%JP¥3,207.50JP¥2,025.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,228.25
JP¥2,627.50
+17.9%
18.4%JP¥3,207.50JP¥2,025.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,084.00
JP¥2,318.33
+11.2%
11.1%JP¥2,650.00JP¥2,025.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥1,891.25
JP¥2,263.75
+19.7%
6.3%JP¥2,375.00JP¥2,025.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,650.75
JP¥2,258.33
+36.8%
7.3%JP¥2,375.00JP¥2,025.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥1,608.25
JP¥2,258.33
+40.4%
7.3%JP¥2,375.00JP¥2,025.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥1,785.25
JP¥2,437.50
+36.5%
7.7%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,250.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥1,831.25
JP¥2,425.00
+32.4%
8.0%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,974.004
Oct ’24JP¥1,883.75
JP¥2,425.00
+28.7%
8.0%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥2,117.504
Sep ’24JP¥1,932.50
JP¥2,425.00
+25.5%
8.0%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥2,212.004
Aug ’24JP¥1,895.00
JP¥2,372.50
+25.2%
4.5%JP¥2,540.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥2,282.004
Jul ’24JP¥1,901.00
JP¥2,372.50
+24.8%
4.5%JP¥2,540.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥2,453.004
Jun ’24JP¥1,665.00
JP¥2,047.50
+23.0%
6.6%JP¥2,190.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥2,279.754
May ’24JP¥1,605.00
JP¥2,021.67
+26.0%
6.9%JP¥2,190.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥2,228.253
Apr ’24JP¥1,447.50
JP¥2,021.67
+39.7%
6.9%JP¥2,190.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥2,084.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,405.00
JP¥1,937.50
+37.9%
4.5%JP¥2,025.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,891.252
Feb ’24JP¥1,395.00
JP¥1,937.50
+38.9%
4.5%JP¥2,025.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,650.752
Jan ’24JP¥1,447.50
JP¥1,937.50
+33.9%
4.5%JP¥2,025.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,608.252
Dec ’23JP¥1,427.50
JP¥1,837.50
+28.7%
4.8%JP¥1,925.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,785.252
Nov ’23JP¥1,395.00
JP¥1,837.50
+31.7%
4.8%JP¥1,925.00JP¥1,750.00JP¥1,831.252

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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