Occidental Petroleum Corporation

BMV:OXY1 * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$998.0b

Occidental Petroleum Valuation

Is OXY1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OXY1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OXY1 * (MX$1062.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1425.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OXY1 * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OXY1 *?

Key metric: As OXY1 * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OXY1 *. This is calculated by dividing OXY1 *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is OXY1 *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsUS$3.53b
Market CapUS$48.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OXY1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OXY1 * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
ENI Eni
17.8x17.3%€43.7b
LKOH PJSC LUKOIL
3.3xn/a₽2.5t
SU Suncor Energy
9.1x-12.5%CA$73.0b
EQNR Equinor
7.2x-8.1%NOK 746.4b
OXY1 * Occidental Petroleum
13.8x8.5%Mex$48.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OXY1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OXY1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies83PE0816243240+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OXY1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (10.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OXY1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OXY1 * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OXY1 *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OXY1 * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,062.20
Mex$1,286.08
+21.1%
13.5%Mex$1,816.84Mex$1,102.35n/a27
Nov ’25Mex$1,007.99
Mex$1,283.85
+27.4%
13.3%Mex$1,779.16Mex$1,079.49n/a27
Oct ’25Mex$1,012.00
Mex$1,336.43
+32.1%
13.4%Mex$1,752.23Mex$1,043.46n/a25
Sep ’25Mex$1,117.00
Mex$1,403.06
+25.6%
11.0%Mex$1,747.92Mex$1,139.09n/a25
Aug ’25Mex$1,107.47
Mex$1,329.16
+20.0%
10.1%Mex$1,582.87Mex$986.97n/a24
Jul ’25Mex$1,156.00
Mex$1,298.78
+12.4%
10.6%Mex$1,631.34Mex$960.68n/a23
Jun ’25Mex$1,059.32
Mex$1,195.23
+12.8%
10.6%Mex$1,502.18Mex$884.62n/a23
May ’25Mex$1,145.33
Mex$1,225.80
+7.0%
10.8%Mex$1,542.16Mex$976.70n/a24
Apr ’25Mex$1,092.00
Mex$1,100.90
+0.8%
7.9%Mex$1,280.06Mex$947.58n/a22
Mar ’25Mex$1,046.00
Mex$1,125.04
+7.6%
9.2%Mex$1,369.44Mex$958.61n/a22
Feb ’25Mex$984.02
Mex$1,152.46
+17.1%
10.9%Mex$1,457.82Mex$1,011.90n/a22
Jan ’25Mex$1,013.00
Mex$1,178.84
+16.4%
10.1%Mex$1,459.27Mex$1,012.91n/a23
Dec ’24Mex$1,011.01
Mex$1,216.28
+20.3%
9.5%Mex$1,471.66Mex$1,038.82n/a24
Nov ’24Mex$1,100.00
Mex$1,277.60
+16.1%
9.8%Mex$1,544.31Mex$1,090.10Mex$1,007.9925
Oct ’24Mex$1,127.51
Mex$1,218.75
+8.1%
9.7%Mex$1,503.10Mex$1,043.33Mex$1,012.0025
Sep ’24Mex$1,104.50
Mex$1,150.96
+4.2%
9.0%Mex$1,364.10Mex$971.92Mex$1,117.0024
Aug ’24Mex$1,059.99
Mex$1,117.71
+5.4%
9.3%Mex$1,363.12Mex$942.41Mex$1,107.4724
Jul ’24Mex$1,011.09
Mex$1,164.13
+15.1%
11.0%Mex$1,403.80Mex$924.45Mex$1,156.0024
Jun ’24Mex$1,020.00
Mex$1,219.76
+19.6%
12.7%Mex$1,538.89Mex$955.17Mex$1,059.3224
May ’24Mex$1,097.00
Mex$1,274.24
+16.2%
14.1%Mex$1,671.79Mex$952.74Mex$1,145.3326
Apr ’24Mex$1,123.89
Mex$1,276.12
+13.5%
13.7%Mex$1,676.08Mex$955.19Mex$1,092.0026
Mar ’24Mex$1,087.62
Mex$1,322.90
+21.6%
12.6%Mex$1,683.57Mex$1,031.87Mex$1,046.0026
Feb ’24Mex$1,182.00
Mex$1,392.28
+17.8%
13.5%Mex$1,862.10Mex$1,061.40Mex$984.0226
Jan ’24Mex$1,225.81
Mex$1,474.71
+20.3%
13.3%Mex$1,943.36Mex$1,107.72Mex$1,013.0026
Dec ’23Mex$1,320.74
Mex$1,482.77
+12.3%
13.9%Mex$1,935.34Mex$1,103.14Mex$1,011.0126
Nov ’23Mex$1,464.99
Mex$1,475.00
+0.7%
19.5%Mex$2,185.41Mex$874.17Mex$1,100.0026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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