Kosmos Energy Valuation

Is KOS * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KOS * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KOS * (MX$102.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$515.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KOS * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KOS *?

Key metric: As KOS * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KOS *. This is calculated by dividing KOS *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is KOS *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
EarningsUS$214.63m
Market CapUS$3.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KOS *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KOS * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.1x
VISTA A Vista Energy. de
9.7x15.0%Mex$106.6b
DEN Denbury
9.5x-18.5%US$4.6b
NOG Northern Oil and Gas
5.1x-25.0%US$4.3b
CRGY Crescent Energy
40.1x65.9%US$2.4b
KOS * Kosmos Energy
16.5x35.6%Mex$3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KOS * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KOS *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Oil and Gas Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies85PE0816243240+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KOS * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the Global Oil and Gas industry average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KOS *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KOS * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KOS *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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