Synchrony Financial Valuation

Is SYF * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYF * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SYF * (MX$1360) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1490.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SYF * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYF *?

Key metric: As SYF * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SYF *. This is calculated by dividing SYF *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is SYF *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.2x
EarningsUS$3.10b
Market CapUS$25.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SYF *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SYF * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
GENTERA * Gentera. de
7.7x15.7%Mex$41.6b
FINDEP * Financiera Independencia. de SOFOM E.N.R
3.2xn/aMex$2.5b
DFS Discover Financial Services
14.2x3.8%US$44.2b
ALLY Ally Financial
14.2x28.4%US$11.0b
SYF * Synchrony Financial
8.2x-8.4%Mex$25.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SYF * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SYF *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Consumer Finance Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies34PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SYF * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.2x) compared to the Global Consumer Finance industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYF *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYF * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SYF *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SYF * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,360.00
Mex$1,266.74
-6.9%
12.6%Mex$1,529.15Mex$815.54n/a21
Nov ’25Mex$1,115.33
Mex$1,201.11
+7.7%
11.6%Mex$1,365.88Mex$803.46n/a21
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$1,053.00
0%
10.4%Mex$1,193.49Mex$712.25n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$1,023.63
0%
10.3%Mex$1,155.13Mex$689.35n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$1,026.97
0%
10.3%Mex$1,155.07Mex$689.31n/a22
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$897.28
0%
15.2%Mex$1,138.65Mex$550.96n/a21
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$797.25
0%
14.7%Mex$1,034.32Mex$500.48n/a19
May ’25n/a
Mex$794.16
0%
13.0%Mex$994.50Mex$514.40n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$712.26
0%
15.2%Mex$960.72Mex$496.92n/a19
Mar ’25Mex$695.70
Mex$725.45
+4.3%
13.5%Mex$991.70Mex$512.95n/a21
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$723.85
0%
13.2%Mex$991.02Mex$512.60n/a22
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$642.47
0%
16.5%Mex$929.29Mex$499.06n/a21
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$620.13
0%
16.6%Mex$937.63Mex$468.82n/a21
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$645.47
0%
17.1%Mex$973.61Mex$486.80Mex$1,115.3320
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$683.55
0%
15.0%Mex$958.51Mex$505.40n/a18
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$672.23
0%
14.9%Mex$937.33Mex$494.23n/a18
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$657.57
0%
14.8%Mex$919.48Mex$484.82n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$633.68
0%
17.2%Mex$880.97Mex$414.57n/a19
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$645.95
0%
16.9%Mex$898.87Mex$423.00n/a20
May ’24Mex$525.00
Mex$667.02
+27.1%
16.3%Mex$922.97Mex$434.34n/a21
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$692.58
0%
15.4%Mex$955.19Mex$432.54n/a21
Mar ’24Mex$652.75
Mex$744.18
+14.0%
13.4%Mex$988.51Mex$503.58Mex$695.7020
Feb ’24Mex$634.00
Mex$746.49
+17.7%
13.4%Mex$996.57Mex$507.69n/a20
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$806.74
0%
14.6%Mex$1,108.65Mex$534.53n/a20
Dec ’23Mex$694.45
Mex$775.81
+11.7%
14.2%Mex$996.10Mex$517.20n/a20
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$791.91
0%
14.3%Mex$1,025.43Mex$512.72n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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