Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On La Comer, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:LACOMERUBC) Second-Quarter Report

BMV:LACOMER UBC
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La Comer, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LACOMERUBC) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of Mex$11b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 2.4% to hit Mex$0.56 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for La Comer. de

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BMV:LACOMER UBC Earnings and Revenue Growth July 27th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for La Comer. de from six analysts is for revenues of Mex$43.5b in 2024. If met, it would imply a modest 5.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to climb 11% to Mex$2.34. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of Mex$43.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$2.33 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at Mex$47.71. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic La Comer. de analyst has a price target of Mex$55.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at Mex$40.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the La Comer. de's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of La Comer. de'shistorical trends, as the 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 13% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that La Comer. de is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$47.71, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on La Comer. de. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple La Comer. de analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.