Dollar General Valuation
Is DGG * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of DGG * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: DGG * (MX$2391) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$2050.58)
Significantly Below Fair Value: DGG * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DGG *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is DGG *'s n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$30.99b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does DGG *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 16.5x | ||
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de | 22.3x | 9.0% | Mex$1.2t |
SORIANA B Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V | 12.4x | 8.7% | Mex$59.0b |
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de | 14.8x | 9.1% | Mex$118.4b |
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de | 16.5x | 6.7% | Mex$79.4b |
DGG * Dollar General | 19.4x | 7.2% | Mex$31.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DGG * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does DGG *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DGG * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (16.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is DGG *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 19.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DGG *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$2,391.00 | Mex$2,615.03 +9.4% | 9.0% | Mex$3,170.51 | Mex$1,969.05 | n/a | 27 |
| May ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,629.79 0% | 8.8% | Mex$3,175.96 | Mex$1,972.44 | n/a | 28 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$2,520.00 | Mex$2,607.65 +3.5% | 8.5% | Mex$2,993.67 | Mex$1,962.52 | n/a | 28 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$2,551.00 | Mex$2,408.88 -5.6% | 11.1% | Mex$2,906.00 | Mex$1,709.41 | n/a | 27 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | Mex$2,450.27 0% | 12.1% | Mex$3,131.98 | Mex$1,720.87 | n/a | 28 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$2,299.44 | Mex$2,393.94 +4.1% | 13.2% | Mex$3,124.56 | Mex$1,716.79 | n/a | 28 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$2,250.00 | Mex$2,283.47 +1.5% | 18.1% | Mex$3,611.87 | Mex$1,719.94 | n/a | 28 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$2,398.79 0% | 18.3% | Mex$3,791.24 | Mex$1,805.35 | n/a | 28 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$1,848.49 | Mex$2,594.27 +40.3% | 15.7% | Mex$3,660.51 | Mex$1,777.96 | n/a | 26 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$2,225.00 | Mex$2,657.36 +19.4% | 14.2% | Mex$3,589.17 | Mex$2,187.69 | n/a | 25 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,127.98 0% | 9.7% | Mex$3,851.21 | Mex$2,595.38 | n/a | 26 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,214.32 0% | 9.7% | Mex$3,958.32 | Mex$2,667.57 | n/a | 26 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$3,634.97 | Mex$4,000.71 +10.1% | 13.1% | Mex$4,739.42 | Mex$2,913.86 | n/a | 24 |
| May ’24 | Mex$3,990.00 | Mex$4,338.00 +8.7% | 9.0% | Mex$5,109.65 | Mex$3,406.43 | n/a | 25 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$3,722.35 | Mex$4,376.96 +17.6% | 9.0% | Mex$5,156.39 | Mex$3,437.59 | Mex$2,520.00 | 25 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$3,881.14 | Mex$4,533.75 +16.8% | 9.7% | Mex$5,292.32 | Mex$3,491.46 | Mex$2,551.00 | 25 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$4,455.00 | Mex$4,969.64 +11.6% | 8.8% | Mex$5,421.43 | Mex$3,595.46 | n/a | 24 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$5,156.88 0% | 8.0% | Mex$5,595.76 | Mex$3,775.69 | Mex$2,299.44 | 24 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$4,851.28 | Mex$5,147.05 +6.1% | 8.2% | Mex$5,670.09 | Mex$3,811.98 | Mex$2,250.00 | 23 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$5,006.98 | Mex$5,334.38 +6.5% | 7.8% | Mex$5,865.06 | Mex$3,943.07 | n/a | 23 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$5,478.35 0% | 7.8% | Mex$6,037.99 | Mex$4,059.32 | Mex$1,848.49 | 23 |
| Sep ’23 | Mex$4,890.07 | Mex$5,417.15 +10.8% | 7.7% | Mex$5,962.80 | Mex$4,008.78 | Mex$2,225.00 | 23 |
| Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$5,280.65 0% | 7.8% | Mex$5,889.10 | Mex$4,083.38 | n/a | 23 |
| Jul ’23 | Mex$4,952.00 | Mex$5,026.06 +1.5% | 8.6% | Mex$5,721.29 | Mex$3,967.03 | n/a | 24 |
| Jun ’23 | Mex$3,877.37 | Mex$4,914.66 +26.8% | 8.8% | Mex$5,609.26 | Mex$3,916.64 | Mex$3,634.97 | 24 |
| May ’23 | Mex$4,876.00 | Mex$5,064.45 +3.9% | 8.8% | Mex$5,756.20 | Mex$3,978.85 | Mex$3,990.00 | 24 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.