Casey's General Stores Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CASY * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CASY * (MX$7450) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$6351.27)

Is CASY * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CASY * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CASY * (MX$7450) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$6351.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CASY * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CASY *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for CASY *. This is calculated by dividing CASY *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is CASY *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$13.86b

CASY * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	13.9x
PEG Ratio	3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CASY *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CASY * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.1x
CHDRAUI B Grupo Comercial Chedraui. de	17.7x	12.2%	Mex$144.2b
LACOMER UBC La Comer. de	18.6x	11.0%	Mex$42.9b
FRAGUA B Corporativo Fragua. de	17.6x	12.6%	Mex$87.4b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de	18.7x	9.4%	Mex$1.0t
CASY * Casey's General Stores	27x	8.2%	Mex$13.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CASY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CASY *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CASY * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the South American Consumer Retailing industry average (16.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CASY *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CASY * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	27x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CASY *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CASY * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	Mex$7,792.07 0%	12.2%	Mex$8,858.23	Mex$5,597.77	n/a	13
Sep ’25	n/a	Mex$7,199.03 0%	14.1%	Mex$8,413.83	Mex$5,235.27	n/a	12
Aug ’25	n/a	Mex$7,208.79 0%	14.4%	Mex$8,379.90	Mex$5,214.16	n/a	12
Jul ’25	n/a	Mex$6,965.30 0%	11.4%	Mex$7,995.40	Mex$5,354.23	n/a	11
Jun ’25	n/a	Mex$5,645.78 0%	7.6%	Mex$6,274.13	Mex$4,747.99	n/a	12
May ’25	n/a	Mex$5,690.76 0%	6.5%	Mex$6,087.04	Mex$4,801.05	n/a	14
Apr ’25	n/a	Mex$5,473.62 0%	6.9%	Mex$5,904.18	Mex$4,656.82	n/a	14
Mar ’25	n/a	Mex$5,304.69 0%	7.9%	Mex$5,831.27	Mex$4,510.66	n/a	13
Feb ’25	n/a	Mex$5,304.69 0%	7.9%	Mex$5,831.27	Mex$4,510.66	n/a	13
Jan ’25	n/a	Mex$5,250.33 0%	8.3%	Mex$5,773.23	Mex$4,465.77	n/a	12
Dec ’24	n/a	Mex$5,088.20 0%	8.3%	Mex$5,722.09	Mex$4,197.34	n/a	11
Nov ’24	n/a	Mex$5,275.89 0%	10.3%	Mex$6,010.43	Mex$4,156.91	n/a	11
Oct ’24	n/a	Mex$4,938.87 0%	10.2%	Mex$5,702.52	Mex$3,943.96	n/a	11
Sep ’24	n/a	Mex$4,497.69 0%	7.2%	Mex$4,863.88	Mex$3,857.56	n/a	12
Aug ’24	n/a	Mex$4,495.87 0%	7.3%	Mex$4,855.88	Mex$3,851.21	n/a	12
Jul ’24	n/a	Mex$4,405.92 0%	8.5%	Mex$4,781.62	Mex$3,603.29	n/a	12
Jun ’24	n/a	Mex$4,689.90 0%	8.5%	Mex$5,237.73	Mex$3,759.05	n/a	12
May ’24	n/a	Mex$4,726.93 0%	8.4%	Mex$5,299.20	Mex$3,803.17	n/a	12
Apr ’24	n/a	Mex$4,834.51 0%	8.6%	Mex$5,440.56	Mex$3,904.62	n/a	12
Mar ’24	n/a	Mex$4,785.56 0%	11.7%	Mex$5,315.56	Mex$3,226.64	n/a	12
Feb ’24	n/a	Mex$4,770.08 0%	11.6%	Mex$5,306.99	Mex$3,221.43	n/a	12
Jan ’24	n/a	Mex$5,056.95 0%	11.7%	Mex$5,763.34	Mex$3,426.32	n/a	12
Dec ’23	n/a	Mex$4,687.49 0%	11.8%	Mex$5,516.97	Mex$3,337.19	n/a	11
Nov ’23	n/a	Mex$4,767.80 0%	10.4%	Mex$5,384.71	Mex$3,463.03	n/a	11
Oct ’23	n/a	Mex$4,775.58 0%	10.0%	Mex$5,401.74	Mex$3,594.46	n/a	11
Sep ’23	n/a	Mex$4,615.04 0%	9.2%	Mex$5,106.58	Mex$3,584.62	n/a	11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.