Stock Analysis

Does Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's (BMV:VINTE) Share Price Gain of 12% Match Its Business Performance?

BMV:VINTE *
Source: Shutterstock

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Vinte Viviendas Integrales, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VINTE), which is up 12%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 4.8% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 3.2% , including dividends .

Check out our latest analysis for Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years of share price growth, Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 13% per year.

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. So we'll need to take a look at some different metrics to try to understand why the share price remains solid.

The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It could be that the revenue growth of 5.1% per year is viewed as evidence that Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BMV:VINTE * Earnings and Revenue Growth March 8th 2021

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de's TSR for the last 3 years was 24%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Over the last year Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de shareholders have received a TSR of 3.2%. While you don't go broke making a profit, this return was actually lower than the average market return of about 11%. But the (superior) three-year TSR of 7% per year is some consolation. We prefer focus on longer term returns, as they are usually a more meaningful indication of the underlying business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

We will like Vinte Viviendas Integrales. de better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MX exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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