Stock Analysis

We Think Grupo Lamosa. de (BMV:LAMOSA) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

BMV:LAMOSA *
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Grupo Lamosa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LAMOSA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupo Lamosa. de

What Is Grupo Lamosa. de's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 Grupo Lamosa. de had Mex$9.86b of debt, an increase on Mex$9.18b, over one year. However, it does have Mex$2.25b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about Mex$7.62b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:LAMOSA * Debt to Equity History November 5th 2021

A Look At Grupo Lamosa. de's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Grupo Lamosa. de had liabilities of Mex$7.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$11.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$2.25b and Mex$5.14b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by Mex$11.0b.

Grupo Lamosa. de has a market capitalization of Mex$27.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Grupo Lamosa. de's net debt is only 1.1 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 18.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Grupo Lamosa. de grew its EBIT by 113% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grupo Lamosa. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Grupo Lamosa. de generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Grupo Lamosa. de's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Grupo Lamosa. de seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Grupo Lamosa. de .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.