Stock Analysis

Here's Why Grupo Lamosa. de (BMV:LAMOSA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

BMV:LAMOSA *
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Grupo Lamosa, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LAMOSA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Grupo Lamosa. de

What Is Grupo Lamosa. de's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Grupo Lamosa. de had Mex$9.93b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have Mex$1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about Mex$8.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:LAMOSA * Debt to Equity History July 18th 2023

A Look At Grupo Lamosa. de's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupo Lamosa. de had liabilities of Mex$8.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of Mex$11.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$1.87b as well as receivables valued at Mex$5.34b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$12.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Grupo Lamosa. de has a market capitalization of Mex$42.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Grupo Lamosa. de has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Grupo Lamosa. de has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Grupo Lamosa. de's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Grupo Lamosa. de recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On our analysis Grupo Lamosa. de's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Grupo Lamosa. de is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Grupo Lamosa. de , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.