Stock Analysis

Does Grupo Rotoplas. de (BMV:AGUA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BMV:AGUA *
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Grupo Rotoplas S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:AGUA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupo Rotoplas. de

How Much Debt Does Grupo Rotoplas. de Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Grupo Rotoplas. de had Mex$4.11b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have Mex$632.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about Mex$3.48b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:AGUA * Debt to Equity History December 23rd 2023

How Healthy Is Grupo Rotoplas. de's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Grupo Rotoplas. de had liabilities of Mex$1.81b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$4.62b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$632.5m and Mex$2.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total Mex$3.58b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Grupo Rotoplas. de is worth Mex$13.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Grupo Rotoplas. de's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.2 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. One way Grupo Rotoplas. de could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 12%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Grupo Rotoplas. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Grupo Rotoplas. de reported free cash flow worth 15% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Grupo Rotoplas. de's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. We think that Grupo Rotoplas. de's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Grupo Rotoplas. de has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Grupo Rotoplas. de is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.