Intelligent Digital Integrated Security Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:143160) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Intelligent Digital Integrated Security Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:143160) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 22% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Intelligent Digital Integrated Security's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Korea, where the median P/E ratio is around 11x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Intelligent Digital Integrated Security has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Intelligent Digital Integrated Security

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Intelligent Digital Integrated Security's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Intelligent Digital Integrated Security's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 89% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 6.9% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 33% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Intelligent Digital Integrated Security is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Intelligent Digital Integrated Security's P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Intelligent Digital Integrated Security's P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Intelligent Digital Integrated Security currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Intelligent Digital Integrated Security with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.