Stock Analysis

Is NuriFlexLtd (KOSDAQ:040160) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A040160
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that NuriFlex Co.,Ltd. (KOSDAQ:040160) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for NuriFlexLtd

What Is NuriFlexLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that NuriFlexLtd had â‚©32.1b of debt in June 2024, down from â‚©47.4b, one year before. However, it does have â‚©33.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of â‚©1.78b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A040160 Debt to Equity History October 24th 2024

A Look At NuriFlexLtd's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that NuriFlexLtd had liabilities of â‚©76.1b due within a year, and liabilities of â‚©6.23b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of â‚©33.8b and â‚©20.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by â‚©28.2b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's â‚©27.4b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that NuriFlexLtd has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NuriFlexLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, NuriFlexLtd saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

So How Risky Is NuriFlexLtd?

Although NuriFlexLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of â‚©6.4b. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for NuriFlexLtd (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NuriFlexLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.