Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That LOTTE INNOVATELtd (KRX:286940) Is Using Debt Extensively

KOSE:A286940
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, LOTTE INNOVATE Co.,Ltd (KRX:286940) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for LOTTE INNOVATELtd

How Much Debt Does LOTTE INNOVATELtd Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 LOTTE INNOVATELtd had debt of ₩178.1b, up from ₩118.8b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩105.0b, its net debt is less, at about ₩73.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A286940 Debt to Equity History December 16th 2024

A Look At LOTTE INNOVATELtd's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LOTTE INNOVATELtd had liabilities of ₩250.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩187.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩105.0b in cash and ₩142.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩190.3b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₩295.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on LOTTE INNOVATELtd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 0.75 times EBITDA, LOTTE INNOVATELtd is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.0 times the interest expense over the last year. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for LOTTE INNOVATELtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 25% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if LOTTE INNOVATELtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, LOTTE INNOVATELtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both LOTTE INNOVATELtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that LOTTE INNOVATELtd has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with LOTTE INNOVATELtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.