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The three-year decline in earnings for KCTech KRX:281820) isn't encouraging, but shareholders are still up 50% over that period
It hasn't been the best quarter for KCTech Co., Ltd. (KRX:281820) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 16% in that time. But don't let that distract from the very nice return generated over three years. In the last three years the share price is up, 47%: better than the market.
Although KCTech has shed ₩79b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
View our latest analysis for KCTech
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the three years of share price growth, KCTech actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 9.2% per year.
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 5.9% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between KCTech's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between KCTech's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. We note that KCTech's TSR, at 50% is higher than its share price return of 47%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that KCTech shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 9.0% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 8% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for KCTech that you should be aware of.
Of course KCTech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on South Korean exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KCTech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A281820
KCTech
Engages in the manufacture and distribution of semiconductor systems, display systems, and electronic materials in South Korea.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.