Stock Analysis

Is Boryung Pharmaceutical (KRX:003850) A Risky Investment?

KOSE:A003850
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Boryung Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (KRX:003850) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Boryung Pharmaceutical

How Much Debt Does Boryung Pharmaceutical Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Boryung Pharmaceutical had ₩192.4b of debt, up from ₩94.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩109.6b, its net debt is less, at about ₩82.8b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A003850 Debt to Equity History December 8th 2020

How Strong Is Boryung Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Boryung Pharmaceutical had liabilities of ₩148.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩192.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩109.6b as well as receivables valued at ₩125.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩106.8b.

Of course, Boryung Pharmaceutical has a market capitalization of ₩897.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Boryung Pharmaceutical's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Boryung Pharmaceutical grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Boryung Pharmaceutical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Boryung Pharmaceutical saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Boryung Pharmaceutical is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Boryung Pharmaceutical's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Boryung Pharmaceutical , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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